Alan HajekAlan Hájek studied statistics and mathematics at the University of Melbourne (B.Sc. (Hons). 1982), where he won the Dwight Prize in Statistics. He took an M.A. in philosophy at the University of Western Ontario (1986) and a Ph.D. in philosophy at Princeton University (1993), winning the Porter Ogden Jacobus fellowship. He has taught at the University of Melbourne (1990) and at Caltech (1992-2004), where he received the Associated Students of California Institute of Technology Teaching Award (2004). He has also spent time as a visiting professor at MIT (1995), Auckland University (2000), and Singapore Management University (2005). Hájek joined the Philosophy Program at RSSS, ANU, as Professor of Philosophy in February 2005.

Hájek’s research interests include the philosophical foundations of probability and decision theory, epistemology, the philosophy of science, metaphysics, and the philosophy of religion. His paper “What Conditional Probability Could Not Be” (pdf) won the 2004 American Philosophical Association Article Prize for “the best article published in the previous two years” by a “younger scholar”. The Philosopher’s Annual selected his “Waging War on Pascal’s Wager” as one of the ten best articles in philosophy in 2003.

He is a Fellow of the Australian Academy of the Humanities. He was the keynote speaker at the 2007 Chinese Analytic Philosophy Association conference, Wuhan (picture). He was the President of the Australasian Association of Philosophy in 2009-2010.


Click here for Hájek’s curriculum vitae and publications.

Click here for Hájek’s 2010 AAP Presidential Address (if you do not have windows you may need to right click and ‘save as’ before opening it) and click here for accompanying slides.

Click here for Hájek’s interview with the Canberra Times.

Click here for Hájek’s lecture “All Values Great and Small” at the Causation and Decision Theory conference.

Click here for Hájek’s interview on probability for The Philosopher’s Zone, ABC National Radio. A transcript of the interview can be found here.



Selected publications


NB. see CV for a more up-to-date list.

Monograph in progress: “Most Counterfactuals Are False”

Forthcoming and 2011. See CV for 2010 and 2009






  • “Vexing Expectations” (with Harris Nover), Mind, Vol. 113, April 2004, 237-249.
  • “Desire Beyond Belief” (with Philip Pettit), Australasian Journal of Philosophy, Vol. 82, March 2004, 77-92.
    • Reprinted in Lewisian Themes: the Philosophy of David K. Lewis, eds. Frank Jackson and Graham Priest, Oxford University Press, 2004, 78-93.
  • “Probability”, the New Dictionary of the History of Ideas, Charles  Scribner’s Sons, 2004.




Video of Alan Hájek giving a presentation at the Western University